You profit when your predicted outcome matches the market's official result.
How Returns Work
When placing an order, the app shows an estimated To Win amount. This is the total amount you could receive if your prediction is correct, including your original stake.
Field | Meaning |
Amount (USDT) | The amount you stake. |
Probability | The current market estimate of the outcome occurring. |
To Win | Your estimated total return if correct. |
Example
You stake 10 USDT on YES.
The order panel shows To Win: 18 USDT.
If the event resolves in your favor, you receive about 18 USDT total.
If the event resolves against you, the 10 USDT stake is forfeited.
Probability and Potential Return
Market probabilities change continuously based on trading activity.
In general:
Lower-probability outcomes may offer higher potential returns.
Higher-probability outcomes may offer lower potential returns.
The exact return is shown before you confirm your order.
Tracking Your Positions
You can monitor your predictions from the Portfolio page:
Processing: Large orders awaiting processing.
Unsettled: Active positions waiting for resolution.
Settled: Completed positions with final outcomes.
History: A full record of all orders and statuses.